Cataclysm of Houston's Metrorail Expansion

The decision to rapidly extend the reach of Houston's successful MetroRail project will, in my opinion, lead to a reduction in the public value of the project — which will defeat the potential urban growth that might have resulted had the project been implemented more slowly.

The first (red) line was successful because it connects highly dense, walkable areas. Businesses respond positively to increasing walk-in traffic that the line brings, and more businesses will probably open along this central spine. But the new lines travel through less dense corridors, in general. Stops will occur in less dense, less walkable areas, and businesses will not feel the incentive to open near them. Lacking in local flavour, these semi-urban areas will generally not grow as a result of the lines.

Without mutual support from and to the local urban fabric, the lines will not gain adequate ridership.

Had the lines been implemented gradually, each line would have contributed to the uniqueness and accessibility of a local area. One at a time, each of the areas could have supported a minor mushrooming of businesses along the line. All together, the lines form a cataclysmic development, reducing relative land value gains in each area, and will probably not provide incentive for local areas to start any transit oriented development.